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CLIMATE SCIENCE
World's nations set course for 2015 global climate pact
by Staff Writers
Durban, South Africa (AFP) Dec 11, 2011

UN climate talks: key points
Durban, South Africa (AFP) Dec 11, 2011 - A UN climate conference ended on Sunday with a raft of decisions aimed at rolling back greenhouse-gas emissions and helping poorer countries cope with the impacts of changing weather systems.

Here are the key elements of what has now become the Durban Package:

GLOBAL CLIMATE PACT

The central achievement of the Durban talks is the launch of a roadmap towards a global climate accord that will, for the first time, include all major emitters of greenhouse gases.

Up to now, No. 1 and No. 3 carbon polluters, China and India, have been exempt from any constraints because they are developing countries, while the No. 2 emitter, the United States, opted out of the Kyoto Protocol.

The new pact must be completed by 2015 and will go into effect from 2020.

GREEN CLIMATE FUND

At the 2009 Copenhagen Summit, developed nations committed to creating a Green Climate Fund that will disburse, by 2020, at least 100 billion dollars per year to help poorer nations fight and cope with climate change.

The Durban talks resolved problems on the Fund's design, but its coffers remain empty. A proposal to tax so-called "bunker fuel" from the global shipping industry gained some traction during the 14-day talks but in the end was not adopted.

Also unresolved is what portion of the funding should come from public sources -- the option preferred by developing countries -- and how much from the private sector.

KYOTO PROTOCOL

The only international treaty to set down legally-binding curbs on carbon emissions was thrown a lifeline when the European Union (EU), Switzerland and Norway backed a new round of pledges for cutting C02 emissions.

Signed in 1997, the treaty's first round of pledges by some three dozen rich nations expires at the end of 2012.

Several nations -- Japan, Russia and Canada -- had made it clear going into the talks that they would not renew their Kyoto vows. New promises, they said, would make no sense when far bigger carbon polluters have no legal constraints.

Bidding for the support of developing countries for which Kyoto has iconic value, the EU declared it would, alone if need be, sign on for new pledges in exchange for the 2015 pact.

Whether the new round of commitments is for five or eight years will likely be decided at the middle of next year.

EMISSIONS COMPLIANCE

A push to make voluntary emissions-cutting efforts laid down last year during UN talks in Cancun, Mexico measurable, reportable and verifiable -- "MRV", in UN climate-speak -- made virtually no headway.

A common accounting framework for developed countries, and eventually for emerging economies, is considered an essential core element of the fight against climate change.

Progress has been stymied by a reluctance by developing countries to be subject to the same scrutiny as developed ones under the UNFCCC's two-tier system of accountability.

Rich countries say that emerging giants will account for the lion's share of emissions in the future, which means the "MRVs" have to be credible. The United States, in particular, is insisting on common standards in oversight.


A marathon UN climate conference on Sunday approved a roadmap towards an accord that for the first time will bring all major greenhouse-gas emitters under a single legal roof.

If approved as scheduled in 2015, the pact will be operational from 2020 and become the prime weapon in the fight against climate change.

The deal was reached after nearly 14 days of talks under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

The forum also launched a "Green Climate Fund" to help channel up to 100 billion dollars a year in aid to poor, vulnerable countries by 2020, an initiative born under the 2009 Copenhagen Summit.

"I believe that what we have achieved in Durban will play a central role in saving tomorrow, today," declared South African Foreign Minister Maite Nkoana-Mashabane, who chaired the talks.

Approval came after two and a half days of round-the-clock wrangling among 194 nations.

Even by UNFCCC standards, the meeting broke the record for going into overtime.

The talks should have ended on Friday but wrapped up in the dawn light of Sunday amid scenes of exhaustion and shredded nerves.

And the often-stormy exchanges reflected concerns among many countries over the cost of making energy efficiencies and switching to clean renewable sources at a time of belt-tightening.

UNFCCC chief Christiana Figueres was exultant.

Citing the words of Nelson Mandela, she said on Twitter: "In honour of Mandela: It always seems impossible until it is done. And it is done!

"I think in the end it ended up quite well," said US chief negotiator Todd Stern.

"The first time you will see developing countries agreeing, essentially, to be bound by a legal agreement."

European Climate Commissioner Connie Hedegaard said the deal marked the shift that had occurred over the last 20 years, when the world first set out to tackle climate change and tied only rich countries to carbon constraints.

"The BASIC countries took some significant new steps in acknowledging that the world of the 21st century is not the same as the 20th century," she said referring to the four big emerging economies -- Brazil, South Africa, India and China.

In the runup to the conference, scientists pounded out loud warnings, saying future generations would pay the bill for foot-dragging.

Current measures to tackle carbon emissions are falling far short of the goal of limiting warming to two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit).

According to research presented by German scientists, the world is on track for a 3.5 C (6.3 F) rise, spelling worsening droughts, floods, storms and rising sea levels for tens of millions of people.

The European Union (EU) led the charge in Durban, pushing for the "roadmap" in exchange for renewing its pledges to the Kyoto Protocol, a treaty deemed iconic by developing countries but increasingly dismissed by rich ones as out of date.

Kyoto's first roster of legally-binding carbon curbs expires at the end of 2012.

The EU will sign up for fresh commitments taking effect from 2013, although this will be little more than symbolic, translating into the UN framework its existing plan for reducing European greenhouse-gas emissions by 20 percent by 2020 over 1990 levels.

New Zealand, Norway and Switzerland and others are joining it, said European diplomats. The duration of the post-2013 commitments will be either five or eight years. Negotiations on this will take place next year.

The EU made the pledge to help assemble a coalition of developing and small island states -- together accounting for nearly two-thirds of the world's nations -- that lobbied China, the United States and India to support the quest.

China and India have become huge emitters of carbon over the last half-dozen years but do not have Kyoto constraints as they are developing countries.

The United States, the world's no. 2 source of man-made carbon, also has no legal curbs as it refused in 2001 to ratify Kyoto.

The key to the Durban deal lay in overcoming the opposition of the Big Three by crafting vague text about what the pact will be -- essentially reassuring them that the price will not be unaffordable.

The final text said parties would "develop a protocol, another legal instrument or an agreed outcome with legal force".

That compromise averted the use of "legally binding", likely to trigger a backlash among the conservative right in the United States during a presidential election year.

"The Durban deal is a solid step in the right direction. It preserves Kyoto for now, but more importantly, lays a path toward a more balanced agreement," said Elliot Diringer of the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, a US think tank.

Observers say the talks for the 2015 pact will be arduous.

The thorny issues include determining the agreement's exact legal status and apportioning carbon constraints among rich and poor countries.

"A heavy load of work ahead on the post 2020 arrangement needs to be done," China said in a statement, eyeing next year's UNFCCC conference in the Gulf state of Qatar.

"The lack of political will is the main element that hinders cooperation on addressing climate change in the international community. We expect political sincerity from developed countries next year."

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Australia hails 'breakthrough' climate talks
Sydney (AFP) Dec 11, 2011 - Australia on Sunday welcomed a deal reached at marathon climate talks in South Africa as an "important breakthrough" in tackling global warming.

Delegates at the UN climate summit in Durban approved a roadmap towards an agreement which will for the first time bring all major greenhouse gas emitters under a single legal accord, after almost 14 days of talks.

Australia is among the world's worst per capita polluters, with a heavy reliance on coal mining and exports. Most of its electricity comes from coal-fired power stations.

Australian Climate Change Minister Greg Combet hailed Sunday's consensus as a "significant breakthrough in tackling global warming."

"The historic Durban agreement opens the way to bring all of the world's major greenhouse gas emitters -- including the United States and important developing economies like China, India and Brazil -- into a new international legal framework for reducing carbon pollution," Combet said in a statement.

"(It sets) the world on a path of long-term action to tackle climate change through a regime with wide global coverage and strong environmental effectiveness," he added.

If approved as scheduled in 2015, the pact will be operational from 2020 and become the prime weapon in the fight against climate change.

Combet said the agreement would allow the world to "move on from the Kyoto Protocol's unsustainable divide between developed and developing countries and ensuring all nations do their fair share."

"The US, which has not ratified the Kyoto Protocol, and China have agreed to be part of the new legal architecture," he said.

"These two countries account for 37 percent of global emissions, so their decision to join a new international legal framework is a breakthrough. They are also Australia's major trading partners."

Canberra passed a controversial tax on carbon pollution last month which will give way to an emissions trading scheme in 2015, and Combet said the developments at Durban were a welcome boost to the plan.

The European Union and New Zealand had agreed to explore opportunities to link their respective emissions trading schemes with Australia's, and Combet said he also discussed regional carbon markets with with Japan and Indonesia.



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Durban, South Africa (AFP) Dec 9, 2011
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