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TRADE WARS
Commodities recover ground after China-led rout
by Staff Writers
Singapore (AFP) Aug 25, 2015


BHP Billiton hit hard by Chinese economic decline
Melbourne (UPI) Aug 25, 2015 - An oversupplied crude oil market and a slowing Chinese economy helped drag revenue down for the period ending June 30, Australia's BHP Billiton said Tuesday.

BHP reported revenue from continuing operations down 21.4 percent for the period, total revenue down 22.2 percent, and capital spending down 24 percent for the period compared with last year. The Australian company said it was taking a reigned in approach moving forward, cutting spending next year by 22 percent to $8.5 million and another 17 percent from there to $7 billion in 2017.

Profits after tax for the year ending June 30 declined 85 percent to $1.9 billion.

Energy companies are struggling to generate cash while lower crude oil prices crimp operating expenses. Crude oil prices are at historic lows because of oversupply concerns and signs of weakness in the Chinese economy.

"In the short term we expect ongoing economic reforms in China to contribute to periods of market volatility," BHP Billiton Chief Executive Officer Andrew Mackenzie said in a statement.

Beijing had pushed a policy of qualitative economic growth over quantity. Following a string of dramatic declines on the Chinese stock market, the government devalued its national currency and injected cash into the market in an effort to slow the decline.

According to the World Bank, Chinese economic growth, as measured by gross domestic product, dropped from 10.6 percent in 2010 to 7.4 percent last year.

For its iron mining sector, BHP said a slowdown in the construction sector led to a 1.3 percent decline in Chinese steel production. While recovery can't be ruled out, the company said it expected growth in that sector will be subdued.

For petroleum, total production for BHP increased by 4 percent to 256 million barrels of oil equivalent. For all of the United States, the company said production should decline by 7 percent next year.

Across the board, the company said commodity prices are expected to drift lower moving into 2016. For oil in particular, the company said it expected markets will favor the supply side on output from the United States and members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

"Global crude oil demand growth was outpaced by supply growth putting pressure on prices throughout the year," the company noted.

Prices of crude oil and most other commodities rebounded in Asia Tuesday but stayed under pressure following a global sell-off sparked by the faltering economy in China, the world's top user of industrial metals and energy.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for October delivery was trading at $38.92 in afternoon Asian trade after closing at $38.24 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, its first below-$40 close since February 2009.

Brent North Sea crude for October, the international benchmark, was at $43.31 a barrel after closing at $42.69 a barrel in London, its lowest level since March 2009.

The Bloomberg Commodity Index, which tracks 22 raw materials, was up 0.14 percent to 85.9723, after losing 2.2 percent on Monday to close at its lowest point since August 1999.

"There is some stability in crude and commodities in Asian trading after the global rout but I am not holding my breath that it will last," said Bernard Aw, market strategist at IG Markets in Singapore.

"The main catalyst for the market today will be if and when the Chinese authorities are going to intervene further to stabilise the volatility in the equities market," he told AFP.

"Market participants remained gripped by fear... slowing global growth, commodity slumps, deflation risks, Chinese slowdown, timing of the Fed hike are all possible drivers of fear," he added.

Nicholas Teo, market strategist at CMC Markets in Singapore, said that "a market rebound of two, three, four or even five percent are common tales in a bear market".

World equity markets have seen some $5 trillion wiped off their value since China's surprise devaluation of the yuan on August 11 fuelled fears the world's second-largest economy is weaker than thought.

Chinese shares have been extremely volatile since a huge debt-fuelled rally, which saw the market rise 150 percent in 12 months, collapsed in mid-June prompting Beijing to unleash unprecedented measures to support the equity market.

Investors fear China's faltering economy will curb demand for industrial materials that have helped feed its astonishing growth in recent years.

On oil markets, a drop in buying from China, the number-one energy importer, could be catastrophic at a time when international markets are already heavily oversupplied and could soon see resurgent production from Iran after its nuclear deal.

"None of the support for oil are holding strong enough to reverse the current bearish momentum," said Daniel Ang, investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore.

"We believe that the lows of $32.40 and $36.20 for WTI and Brent could be a floor and would think that prices should hold there," Ang added.

Gold prices remained steady, boosted by prospects of increased demand due to its status as a safe haven in times of turmoil.

Bullion for immediate delivery rose 0.1 percent to $1,156.01 an ounce in Singapore morning trade, according to Bloomberg generic pricing, after declining 0.5 percent on Monday.

Resources stocks recovered slightly after tumbling on Monday. BHP Billiton closed 1.97 percent higher at Aus$23.34 while Fortescue was up 9.48 percent at Aus$1.79.

bjp/mba/sm

BHP Billiton

Fortescue


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