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China to outline fiscal policy as traders await action
China to outline fiscal policy as traders await action
by AFP Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Oct 9, 2024

China's finance minister will hold a briefing this weekend focused on fiscal policy, authorities said Wednesday, as investors seek further action after a recent slew of measures aimed at reversing an economic slump.

The news comes after traders on the mainland and in Hong Kong were left disappointed by a news conference Tuesday in which officials failed to unveil any new stimulus and provided scant detail on its plans for implementing the raft measures already flagged.

Lan Fo'an will use Saturday's news conference to outline "countercyclical adjustment of fiscal policy to promote high-quality economic development", Beijing announced.

The world's second-largest economy has struggled to regain its footing since the lifting of pandemic measures at the end of 2022.

Economists say more direct state support is needed to boost flagging consumption and achieve the government's official national growth target of about five percent for this year.

Beijing last month announced over several days its most aggressive stimulus in years, including key interest rate cuts and the easing of restrictions on homebuying.

An anticipated event Tuesday led by the head of China's National Development and Reform Commission dashed investor hopes for more measures, with Commission head Zheng Shanjie saying only that the government was "fully confident" of hitting its growth target.

"It is likely that they first want to see what the effect is of the previous stimulus before adding new stimulus measures," Teeuwe Mevissen, senior China economist at Rabobank, told AFP.

"It is well known that (President Xi Jinping) is not a big fan of generous social security and/or fiscal stimulus to increase private demand," he said.

"So if fiscal stimulus for the demand side of the economy is not strictly necessary then they will likely refrain from it."

Chinese stocks tumble on stimulus upset, Asia tracks Wall St higher
Hong Kong (AFP) Oct 9, 2024 - Stocks in mainland China and Hong Kong tumbled on another volatile day Wednesday after Beijing disappointed investors over a lack of fresh stimulus and scant detail on its plans for implementing a raft of measures already unveiled.

After blockbuster performances in the wake of last month's announcements to kickstart growth, traders were left deflated after a news conference on Tuesday fell short of expectations and revived worries about the outlook.

A rally on Wall Street, helped by a plunge in oil prices and optimism over the US economy, did little to lift sentiment on Chinese trading floors, although most other markets in Asia enjoyed gains.

Investors are now keeping tabs on developments out of Beijing after it said Finance Minister Lan Fo'an would hold a Saturday briefing on fiscal policy.

Traders are hoping for more indications about officials' plans, although analysts warn there is unlikely to be the big "bazooka" stimulus akin to the support seen during the global financial crisis.

Shehzad Qazi at China Beige Book said the news conference "underscored that Beijing does not feel the need to do 'whatever it takes'.

"Instead it's opting for targeting stimulus -- including allocating funds for projects previously announced. The irony is markets would've continued rallying had there been no press conference.

"The only upside of (Tuesday's) event was injecting a much-needed dose of reality."

Hong Kong had soared more than 20 percent between the first batch of measures being announced and Monday, but it collapsed more than nine percent on Tuesday -- its worst day since 2008.

After swinging in the morning, the Hang Seng Index fell more than one percent Wednesday as traders struggled to get back on track.

Shanghai ended down more than six percent -- having seen a 10 percent opening rally Tuesday pared to just over four percent by the end of the day.

Still, most other markets in the region rose as investors took their lead from New York, where tech firms led the way on optimism over the world's top economy in the wake of Friday's forecast-topping jobs data.

Tokyo rose, with Seven & i Holdings -- the owner of the 7-Eleven convenience store chain -- piling on 12 percent after a report said Canada's Alimentation Couche-Tard had hiked its takeover offer for the company by almost 20 percent to $47.2 billion. It eased back later to end almost five percent higher.

Sydney, Singapore, Taipei, Wellington, Bangkok and Mumbai also rose, along with London and Paris. Frankfurt, Manila and Jakarta dipped.

While the US jobs figures dented expectations for a second successive bumper interest rate cut this month, they did temper worries about a possible recession.

US consumer and producer prices data towards the end of the week should provide further clues on the interest rate outlook, while third-quarter earnings season kicks off on Friday.

Oil prices inched up but made little headway into the losses of almost five percent suffered in the previous session that came on the back of doubts about Chinese demand and after Israel faced international pressure not to strike Iranian crude installations.

Fears about Israel's response to Iran's missile attack last week had sent the commodity soaring Monday to its highest levels since August.

Healthy US stockpiles and expectations of ample supply both in and out of OPEC also weighed on oil prices.

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Chinese shares drop on stimulus upset, Asia tracks Wall St higher
Hong Kong (AFP) Oct 9, 2024
Stocks in mainland China and Hong Kong tumbled Wednesday on another volatile day after Beijing disappointed investors over a lack of fresh stimulus and scant detail on its plans for implementing a raft of measures already unveiled. After blockbuster performances in the wake of last month's announcements to kickstart growth, traders were left deflated Tuesday after a news conference that fell short of expectations and revived worries about the outlook. A rally on Wall Street, helped by a plunge i ... read more

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