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TRADE WARS
China March exports dive as economy seen slowing further
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) April 13, 2015


Lamborghini, Ferrari in 'Fast and Furious' Beijing crash
Beijing (AFP) April 13, 2015 - Online speculation mounted in China Monday as police detained the "unemployed" drivers of a Lamborghini and Ferrari that crashed in Beijing as the seventh stunt-filled "Fast and Furious" movie opened.

Pictures of the mangled wreckage of a lime-green Lamborghini, a damaged red Ferrari and other high-performance cars in a tunnel in the Chinese capital emerged online following Saturday's crash, which police said left one person injured.

A 20-year-old surnamed Yu from Changchun in the northeastern province of Jilin drove the Ferrari, while a man surnamed Tang, aged 21, from Beijing, was in the Lamborghini, police said, adding that both were jobless.

"Socialism is so good that it allows unemployed people to drive supercars," one posting said on Sina Weibo, China's version of Twitter, mocking the country's authoritarian system of Communist rule.

"What are their names? Who are their fathers?" another netizen asked.

A high-speed Ferrari crash in the capital in March 2012 killed the son of Ling Jihua, a close ally of then-president Hu Jintao. Two women passengers, one of them naked, were both injured.

The incident added to public perceptions in China of corrupt and high-living officials, and Ling has since been investigated for graft and dismissed from his post.

The latest crash happened at about 10pm, police said, during heavy rain. It occurred two hours before "Furious 7" broke the record for midnight screenings on its launch in China, according to the Hollywood Reporter.

"Were they in a hurry to watch Fast and Furious 7?" one netizen said.

Earlier reports said at least one of the luxury vehicles' drivers was a student, and that residents had complained about cars racing in the tunnel, which is near Beijing's emblematic Bird's Nest stadium.

Beijing police earlier drew derision online for referring to the cars involved as green and red "small passenger-carrying vehicles" in a statement released Sunday.

"These sure are valuable vehicles," said one posting.

But Monday's police statement identified the makes of both the Lamborghini, which sells for around $800,000 in China, and the Ferrari, which can cost around $500,000.

A 21-year-old driver crashed his Ferrari at high speed in the Chinese capital in February last year, killing one passenger and injuring another.

China suffered an across-the-board decline in trade in March, the government said Monday, days ahead of GDP data expected to show another slowdown in the world's second-largest economy.

Exports fell an unexpected 15.0 percent year-on-year in March to $144.57 billion, the General Administration of Customs said, while imports tumbled 12.7 percent to $141.49 billion.

The monthly trade surplus, which had hit consecutive records in January and February, plummeted 60.0 percent to $3.08 billion.

The export decline was far from what economists had expected, with a survey by Bloomberg News projecting an increase of 9.0 percent. The poll forecast a trade surplus of $40.1 billion.

Customs spokesman Huang Songping blamed the export slump on stepped-up factory deliveries ahead of a later start for China's Lunar New Year holidays than in 2014.

Factoring in seasonal effects the fall was only 4.8 percent, Huang said. Still, he acknowledged problems.

"International market demand was slack and export orders have declined," he told reporters. "Comprehensive costs remained high so that the traditional competitive advantages were weakened."

For imports, he attributed the weakness to commodity price falls and a downturn in domestic growth.

In the first quarter overall prices of China's imports fell by 9.8 percent year-on-year, with those for key commodities iron ore, crude oil and refined oil dropping 45 percent, 46.8 percent and 38.7 percent respectively, according to Huang.

On Wednesday China announces economic growth data for the first quarter, with a survey by AFP forecasting 6.9 percent expansion. That would be sharply down from the 7.3 percent in October-December and the worst rate since January-February 2009, at the height of the global financial crisis.

Growth slowed to 7.4 percent in the whole of 2014, the weakest in 24 years. The deceleration appears to have continued into this year as indicators including industrial production, consumer spending and fixed asset investment have slumped.

"While the very weak export data in March was affected by the front-loading effect owing to the Chinese New Year in February, the overall trade performance in Q1 remains quite weak," ANZ economists Liu Li-Gang and Zhou Hao wrote after the latest figures.

"In particular, the very weak import data suggest domestic demand has slowed further", they added.

- 'Severe and complicated' -

The government last month lowered its official economic growth target for this year to about 7.0 percent.

It also cut its trade growth target to about 6.0 percent, from the 7.5 percent goal set for last year.

Actual trade expanded 3.4 percent in 2014, the third consecutive time the annual target was missed, owing to weakening domestic and foreign demand.

Huang said officials were bracing for a "severe and complicated" situation.

"We will have to make great effort in order to achieve this year's trade growth target," he said.

Beijing is trying to manage a delicate rebalancing of the economy to make growth more consumer-driven and sustainable, but also making sure it does not slow so much that job growth is severely affected. This could spark popular discontent -- a key concern of the Communist Party.

In a show of their willingness to put a floor on the economy's deceleration, authorities have used monetary policy tools to shore up growth.

The central People's Bank of China earlier this year cut interest rates for the second time in three months. It also carried out an across-the-board reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) -- the amount of money banks must keep on hand -- for the first time since May 2012.

Nomura economists said more such moves are likely.

"We also continue to expect more policy easing to offset headwinds to economic growth," they said in a note, predicting three more interest rate and RRR cuts this year.

Expectations for more stimulus by Beijing have sent mainland stock markets surging over the past year. Monday's poor figures raised anticipation further, with the benchmark Shanghai composite index rising 2.17 percent to its highest close in more than seven years.

For the first quarter, China's trade surplus soared more than 600 percent to $123.70 billion, Customs said, with exports up 4.7 percent to $513.93 billion and imports dropping 17.6 percent to $390.23 billion.


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