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TRADE WARS
China-backed trade pact gains as Trump threatens to ditch TPP
by Staff Writers
Davos, Switzerland (AFP) Jan 19, 2017


China to curb foreign investment by state-owned firms
Shanghai (AFP) Jan 19, 2017 - China said it will ban or closely monitor overseas investments by state-owned firms in certain sectors, the latest move in a government fight to stem capital flight and what it has called "irrational" spending abroad.

The state-assets watchdog, which manages the country's 102 state-owned giants, plans to draw up a list of sectors that will either be off-limits to investment by SOEs or under strict supervision, according to a government statement Wednesday.

The notice by the State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission gave no details on what sectors would be singled out, nor any timing.

But the state-run China Daily reported Thursday that the list would include heavily polluting industries or those vulnerable to global commodity price fluctuations, such as business related to energy, mining, real estate and the oil sector.

It quoted the commission's vice-chairwoman Huang Danhua as saying the government would, however, seek to encourage SOE overseas investment in sectors including high-speed rail, roads, telecommunications, and nuclear power.

Overseas direct investment surged 44 percent to 1.13 trillion yuan (now $165 billion) in 2016, surpassing inward investment of 813.2 billion yuan, according to the government, as Chinese companies went on a worldwide spending spree across a range of sectors.

In one of the largest moves, ChemChina made a $43 billion bid for Swiss seed giant Syngenta that is awaiting approval by EU regulators.

The tide of outgoing investment has alarmed authorities, who are grappling with slowing domestic economic growth, capital flight, and the weakening yuan, which is close to eight-year lows against the dollar.

Chinese authorities have responded by urging domestic companies to avoid "irrational" overseas investments and tightening screening of such plans while also announcing a number of measures aimed at attracting more foreign investment into China.

Asia will push ahead with a Chinese-supported free trade agreement if Donald Trump follows through on pledges to ditch the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), global leaders in Davos were told Thursday.

Speaking at the World Economic Forum, a panel of regional experts said Asia must be prepared for a world in which the United States will take a back seat in global trade while China assumes a bigger leadership role.

Trump, who takes office on Friday, has promised to tear up existing free-trade deals and withdraw from the TPP negotiated by his predecessor Barack Obama.

Trump has also said he will focus on creating employment at home and threatened to impose punitive measures on companies that move business overseas at the expense of local jobs.

"We really have to prepare ourselves for a very different world where America -- instead of becoming the cheerleader for trade -- becomes in some ways the biggest obstacle to trade," said Kishore Mahbubani, dean of the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy in Singapore.

Mahbubani praised Chinese President Xi Jinping's speech at Davos on Tuesday in which he warned against blaming globalisation for the world's ills or retreating behind protectionist walls.

"It's amazing. In the past, American presidents usually gave those kinds of speeches. Now it's the president of China who does it," he said.

- 'Let's pedal harder' -

Malaysian Trade Minister Mustapa Mohamed said that with TPP "dead", countries are pushing for an alternative free trade deal in the form of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).

"Because the TPP is dead, therefore all of us are committed to ensure that RCEP becomes successful," he said.

"It's a win-win, the concept is a balanced outcome, there's something for everyone."

The RCEP covers 16 countries: the 10 members of the Southeast Asian ASEAN group plus their regional trading partners China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand and India. It notably excludes the United States.

Compared with the TPP, the RCEP also aims to cut tariff and non-tariff barriers but calls for lower and more limited regulatory standards.

It also exempts certain goods from the tariff cuts to protect local sectors and allows less developed members more time to comply.

The US-led TPP is an agreement between 12 countries that does not include China and has more stringent requirements for membership.

"Without TPP, China naturally becomes a leader trying to provide forces of economic integration in this region," David Li, economics professor at China's Tsinghua Universty, said at the Davos forum.

He said China's approach to the RCEP was like riding a bicycle, taking on riders one at a time even though at a slow pace, unlike the TPP.

"Once everyone has joined the bicycle, let's try to pedal harder, let's try to improve," he said.

"In TPP, you have to up your speed or fly. Otherwise you don't join. So I think RCEP will have a better future than TPP."

Mahbubani said China's leadership was crucial for RCEP to succeed.

"No trade agreement moves unless it has a champion. It was Obama championing TPP. Now in the case of RCEP, I think there is a tremendous opportunity for China to provide that kind of leadership," he said.


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Xi Jinping's hymn to globalisation at Davos may have won acclaim from the meeting's well-heeled elite, but Chinese experts say it was distinctly out of tune with an administration that is increasingly closed and hostile to the outside world. In his highly anticipated keynote speech Tuesday, Xi insisted China was committed to "opening up" and said there was "no point in blaming economic globa ... read more


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