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Venezuela holds keys to Orinoco oil wealth

Chilean oil demand to rise despite quake
Santiago, Chile (UPI) Apr 22, 2010 - Chilean energy demand is set to rise despite the devastating Feb. 27 earthquake that battered many sectors of the economy, a report on Latin American oil industry said. The Irish publisher Research and Markets said in its "Chile Oil and Gas Report Q2 2010" report the country will account for 4.41 percent of Latin American regional oil demand by 2014 and wasn't expected to make any significant contribution to supply. Analysts said they thought it unlikely that Chile would have spare cash for mounting a major oil and gas exploration program. Earthquake reconstruction costs already have derailed President Sebastian Pinera's pre-election program of infrastructural and economic development.

The rising demand for oil and gas also raises questions about finance, analysts said. The Chilean economy will need to continue its current pace of growth, already interrupted by the quake. In the wider context of Latin American energy consumption, Chile is likely to continue with a steady oil demand. Latin America's regional oil use of 6.93 million barrels a day in 2001 reached an estimated 7.78 million barrels a day in 2009, said the report, quoting Business Monitor International. The overall oil use in the region is expected to average 7.92 million barrels a day in 2010 and then rise to around 8.631 million barrels a day by 2014. Latin America produces about 9.69 million barrels a day of oil but the figure is set to rise to 10.79 million barrels a day by 2014 -- and possibly more if additional production in Brazil, Ecuador, Mexico and Venezuela comes on stream. Chilean oil production has been declining and is likely to remain negligible in the coming years.

Latin American oil exports have slipped as local demand has risen. Against an average export of 3.37 million barrels a day in 2001 the total fell to less than 2 million barrels a day last year and is likely to recover to only around 2.15 million barrels a day by 2014 if the major exporters achieve projected export figures. Regional gas consumption is also set to rise and Chile's share of the consumption is likely to increase from 1.75 percent to 2.80 percent by 2014. This is despite a drop in Chilean gross domestic production recorded before the February earthquake. BMI estimated the Chilean real GDP in 2009 fell 1.2 percent compared with a growth of 3.2 percent in 2008. Although an average annual 3.7 percent growth is predicted for 2010-2014 this may change as the full impact of the earthquake kicks in. Pinera has made reconstruction a priority, though at great cost to development plans he outlined before being elected in January -- just a month before the 8.8 magnitude temblor struck Chile.
by Staff Writers
Caracas (AFP) April 22, 2010
Companies from around the world have flocked to Venezuela's Orinoco Belt over the past three years to work on extracting heavy and ultra-heavy oil -- an expensive process made worthwhile with oil prices rising.

These companies want some of the action even after leftist President Hugo Chavez changed investment rules in 2007 and mandated that the state oil consortium, Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA), maintain a minimum 60-percent stake in all Orinoco projects.

Currently some 30 companies from more than 20 different countries are operating in the Orinoco Belt, a 55,314 square kilometer (21,360 square mile) oil reserve in the Orinoco River area.

For years experts believed that it was too expensive to extract and refine the heavy and extra-heavy oil in the area. But the drop in light oil reserves and the increase in global oil prices -- currently around 80 dollars a barrel, against 20 dollars a barrel in the 1990s -- has revived the interest among foreign investors.

Some oil companies, like the US-based ConocoPhilips and Exxon Mobil, left Venezuela in a huff after the Chavez administration nationalized their assets in 2007.

But plenty of other companies moved in to replace them.

France's Total, Norway's Statoil, Italy's Eny, China's Sinupec, British Petroleum and US-based Chevron have all accepted the new rules of the game.

Access to the projects can be currently obtained in two ways: agreements between governments, as was the case with countries friendly to the Chavez administration like China, Russia and Belarus, and public tenders.

Currently a consortium of Russian companies will drill in four blocs on the Orinoco Belt, while Eni will exploit one bloc, and Petrovietnam will exploit another.

Chevron and Spain's Repsol in February obtained permission to work in two blocs in the Carabobo area, in partnership with Indian, Malaysian and Japanese companies.

And Caracas is finalizing a deal to let Chinese companies exploit another bloc.

According to Energy and Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez, around 120 billion dollars will be invested in the Orinoco Belt between now and 2017.

"The Orinoco Belt will be Venezuela's future oil region, which will provide the barrels of oil into the future, and which will help us reach our goal of producing 6.862 million barrels (a day) by 2021," Ramirez said recently.

Venezuela produces 3.06 million barrels of oil a day, according to government figures, though the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) pegs Venezuelan production at 2.35 million barrels of oil a day.

Currently PDVSA's production, along with its foreign partners, in the Orinoco belt is of 954,000 barrels a day of extra-heavy oil, according to government figures.

At the same time, PDVSA is working with companies from Vietnam, China, Italy, France, South Africa, Portugal, Belarus and Russia, among others, to certify its oil reserves.

Venezuelan reserves jumped 23 percent in late 2009 to 211,173 million barrels, according to government figures, making Venezuela the country with the second largest crude reserves after Saudi Arabia. Most of this jump was including the heavy and extra-heavy oil from the Orinoco Belt.

With the inevitable decrease of light oil deposits and the increase in oil prices, the focus on heavy oil makes financial sense.

"The big companies are focusing their resources on regions like Venezuela, because the future is here," said Total vice-president Jean-Jacques Mosconi said recently.



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