Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Energy News .




ENERGY TECH
Qatar succession and the gulf's aging monarchies
by Staff Writers
Doha, Qatar (UPI) Jun 26, 2013


The handover of power by the emir of Qatar to his 33-year-old son is a rare occurrence among the Persian Gulf's aging ruler-for-life monarchs, but it could show them the way to go as they grapple with the turmoil of the Arab Spring that toppled four seemingly unassailable Arab leaders.

The Arab world's remaining eight monarchies have so far managed, through fair means and foul, to head off popular pro-democracy revolutions that erupted in January 2011 and ousted the dictators of Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and Yemen, and may yet bring down Syria's embattled president.

But, as Robert D. Kaplan of the U.S. global security consultancy Stratfor observed: "King Mohammed VI of Morocco, King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, King Abdullah II of Jordan, Sultan Qaboos bin Said of Oman and the various sheiks of the Persian Gulf are ... more nervous on their thrones than a few years ago: in particular the monarchies of Jordan, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia.

"Moreover, they are not angels. Strong and regularly ruthless security services help keep these monarchs in power. Nevertheless ... compared to other regimes in the region, these monarchs have been both enlightened and Machiavellian in the best sense of the word."

Many in the region saw the abdication of Qatar's 61-year-old modernizing emir, Sheik Hamad bin Khalifa, 61, Tuesday and the handing of power to his British-educated son, Sheik Tamim, as a signal to other royal rulers in the gulf, most of them in their late 70s and 80s, that they should give way to a younger generation.

The Arab revolutions were largely driven by young people, the digital generation that demanded a future, reform, employment, and underlined the growing age difference between rulers and the ruled.

According to the World Bank, 70 percent of the Arab world's 400 million population is less than 30 years of age. They're no longer willing to be suppressed by secret police or bought off as their elders were.

The rulers of the gulf petrostates are grappling with this problem, even while, led by Saudi Arabia and Qatar, they're arming Syrian rebels to bring down another Arab tyrant, Bashar Assad of Syria, an ally of their religious enemy, Shiite Iran.

But trouble is brewing in Kuwait, the only gulf state with a Parliament, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates, and the signs are things will get worse.

These monarchies have survived recent upheavals in considerable part because they have a legitimacy and tribal tradition that the Arab republics, some of which like Egypt and Libya had toppled monarchies, do not have.

These dynasties know deep down that reforms are needed if they're to survive. However, by and large, they move slowly, and time is not on their side as the Middle East is convulsed by religious wars and turmoil that seem to herald a new order.

"The Qatari move is an important one," says Shafeeq Ghabra, professor of political science at Kuwait University. "It sets the bar higher and puts pressure on the rest of the region to put their house in order."

The big problem for the gulf's royal families is the advanced age of the ruling generation and potentially tricky succession issues. Saudi Arabia seems to be in the biggest mess.

The kingdom, the world's largest oil exporter, faces a potentially troubled transition if King Abdullah, who turns 90 this year, dies or abdicates because of the abundance of scheming princes who are his half-brothers, all in their dotage.

Two crown princes, who would have succeeded him, have died in the last two years. Saudi Arabia is still run by the sons of warrior king Abdel Aziz who established the kingdom in 1932, largely by the sword.

He had 43 sons before he died in 1953. Every monarch since then has been a son as the crown passed sideways from brother to brother.

Abdullah, increasingly infirm, is probably the last of those sons who'll rule, but so far there's been no sign that power will go to the grandsons.

"Over-dependent for its legitimacy on the reactionary Wahhabi clerical establishment, the House of Saud faces a succession crisis as an absolute monarchy without an absolute monarch, as al-Saud factions jostle for position," veteran Middle East analyst David Gardner said.

"Even Saudi officials liken it to the gerontocracy of the Soviet politburo after Leonid Brezhnev."

.


Related Links
Powering The World in the 21st Century at Energy-Daily.com






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








ENERGY TECH
Bangladesh to exhaust gas reserves?
Dhaka, Bangladesh (UPI) Jun 25, 2013
Bangladesh risks running out of existing recoverable gas reserves within the next decade if no new gas fields are discovered, experts warn. "Bangladesh urgently requires the necessary exploration and drilling to increase overall natural gas output," local energy expert Nurul Islam told Platts Monday. Data from state-owned Bangladesh Oil, Gas & Mineral Corp., known as Petrobangla, ... read more


ENERGY TECH
Extreme Energy, Extreme Implications: Interview with Michael Klare

Energy Companies Pull a Blackwater

Asia needs $944 billion investment for energy efficiency

John Kerry promotes clean energy in India

ENERGY TECH
Getting the carbon out of emissions

Chinese secure foreign oil in $100B buying spree

Qatar succession and the gulf's aging monarchies

Violence against Brazil natives up sharply: report

ENERGY TECH
Renewable energy use gaining worldwide: IEA

Spanish downturn a disaster for green energy

New certified small wind turbine announced for US market

Mongolia confronts smog with launch of first wind farm

ENERGY TECH
New Asoka Adapter First to Network Solar Power Systems Using Powerline Communications

Solar Trackers Beam Growing Energy Trend into China and India

Solar power heads in a new direction: Thinner

TUV Rheinland to Launch New Inverter Functionality Testing Program

ENERGY TECH
Japan gets first MOX nuclear shipment since Fukushima

New radioactive water leak at Fukushima: TEPCO

US state in new alert over nuclear waste leak

Romania to sell stake in nuclear plant operator

ENERGY TECH
High-octane bacteria could ease pain at the pump

Novel Enzyme from Tiny Gribble Could Prove a Boon for Biofuels Research

A cheaper drive to 'cool' fuels

When green algae run out of air

ENERGY TECH
China calls for international cooperation in manned space program

Shenzhou 10 Returns Safely To Earth

Home of space dreams

China's Shenzhou-10 spacecraft returns to Earth

ENERGY TECH
Tunisian woman to be first boss of Green Climate Fund

Obama's climate strategy falls short: experts

Obama lays out national plan to fight climate change

Climate change altering insurers' risk assessment: think tank




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement