No Silver Bullet To Combat Climate Chang Says IEA Chief
Paris (AFP) April 27, 2007 International Energy Agency (IAE) chief Claude Mandil warned Friday there was no "silver bullet" which by itself would cut greenhouse-gas emissions that drive dangerous climate change. Mandil set a target of an early cut of a billion tonnes of emissions per year and said a full range of measures -- which he said included renewable energy, carbon storage, nuclear power and energy efficiency -- should be harnessed. "All that is not to tell you it's impossible. It's to say there's no silver bullet, not one technology alone," Mandil told a UN meeting on energy efficiency here. Current fossil-fuel dominated energy demand increases carbon dioxide (CO2) by one billion tonnes every two years, according to IEA data. Energy demand will grow by more than 50 percent by 2030 if the pattern of consumption remains unchanged. "This is not sustainable," Mandil reiterated. Even very basic energy savings like phasing out wasteful incandescent light bulbs from 2008 and better street lighting could make significant inroads, the IEA chief argued. The global cost of lighting could be reduced by 2.6 trillion dollars by 2030 and a cumulative 16 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide could be saved, according to the agency. "The difference could reach one-third of lighting costs in 2030," Mandil said. "The additional investment costs would easily be offset by consumption savings." However, none of the technological steps could be implemented on the kind of scale needed to tackle greenhouse gas emissions on their own, he cautioned. About 78 percent of CO2 savings were likely to come from more efficient use of energy and 22 percent from cleaner energy sources by 2030, according to the agency. Mandil said that to avoid one billion tonnes of greenhouse gases a year, the world would need to replace 300 convention coal-fired power plants with zero emission electricity generation every year, or build 150 one-gigawatt nuclear power plants. That is also the equivalent of multiplying the United States's current solar power capacity by about 1,300 every year or 200 times the US wind farm capacity. Carbon sequestration or storage -- which involves pumping carbon dioxide underground -- is still largely untested and very costly with current technology, the meeting for the UN Economic Commission for Europe's 60th anniversary heard. Its is also contested in some scientific quarters, with experts fearing that storage chambers could be breached by earthquake or porous geology, spewing the CO2 into the atmosphere. Mandil said 1,000 large carbon sequestration plants would have to be built annually to meet climate change targets. The chairman of French oil group Total welcomed Europe's role in spearheading movement on climate change but underlined the need for a global response. "That has to be welcomed, but that pioneering venture will only work if the United States and major emerging nations, which produce the most (greenhouse gas) emissions commit themselves to an equivalent effort," Thierry Demarest said. The Total chief warned that unless that happened, the European effort could harm its industry's competitiveness in the longer term. The UN's Kyoto protocol set targets for industrialised countries to trim outputs of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other gases that trap solar heat, unbalancing the planet's delicate climate system, by 2012. However, the United States and Australia have stayed out of the binding agreement, while efforts to draw up a post-2012 deal drawing in developing countries are mired in problems.
earlier related report The IPCC's "summary for policymakers" on how to mitigate climate change is to be issued in Bangkok next Friday after a five-day meeting. The draft says an overarching goal is to establish a "price for carbon," a reference to carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse-gases emitted by burning fossil fuels and by farming. If carbon pollution carries a significant price, producers and consumers are encouraged to switch to low-carbon products, technologies and processes -- and the higher the price, the faster the change and the deeper the cut in emissions. To achieve a reasonable price, a basket of policies and technologies is needed and the mix can include regulatory, fiscal and voluntary measures, says the report. The document does not make any recommendations, but highlights the following options as being proven as "environmentally effective":
TARGET FOSSIL FUELS
ENCOURAGE RENEWABLE ENERGIES
REDUCE ROAD POLLUTION
MAKE BUILDINGS ENERGY EFFICIENT
CUT CO2 FROM INDUSTRY
AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY AND WASTE
Source: Agence France-Presse
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