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High oil prices help Iran fight sanctions
by Staff Writers
Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UPI) Apr 19, 2012

Exxon out of Iraq energy auction after row
Baghdad (AFP) April 19, 2012 - Oil giant ExxonMobil, which drew Baghdad's ire for signing a deal with the Kurdistan region, will not participate in an auction of exploration blocks next month, Iraq's oil ministry said on Thursday.

The statement on the oil ministry's website confirmed that the fourth bidding round for energy contracts would be held from May 30-31, and said that "the final list of prequalified companies includes a total of 47 entities, split between operators and non-operators."

Exxon was not on the list given in the statement.

Asked about the Exxon situation, Abdel Mehdi al-Amidi, the director general of the oil ministry's petroleum contracting and licensing directorate, said: "You have the statement and it contains the list of companies, and you know the story of ExxonMobil." He declined to comment further.

Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region on October 18 inked a deal with ExxonMobil for it to explore six areas, but Baghdad regards any contracts not signed with the central government as invalid.

Before signing the Kurdistan contract, Exxon had already made an oil deal with the central government.

In January 2010, the Iraqi oil ministry completed a deal with ExxonMobil and Anglo-Dutch giant Shell to develop production at West Qurna-1. With reserves of about 8.5 billion barrels, it is the country's second largest oilfield.


High oil prices are shielding Iran from the full weight of U.S. and EU economic sanctions aimed at choking Tehran's oil exports and forcing it to abandon its nuclear program.

It's a Catch-22 situation. Oil prices are climbing amid fears global supply will be seriously disrupted, even critically disrupted, by cutting Iran's exports and concerns Iran will seek to close the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil artery and the only way in and out of the Persian Gulf.

There's no doubt the sanctions are increasingly biting and they'll get tougher July 1, when a total oil embargo by the 27-member European Union is to take effect.

But the Iranians are resorting to secret oil sales and have ordered their state-owned fleet of 39 supertankers to switch off transponders that allow the shipping industry to track them.

That suggests Tehran's clandestine network is operating at full tilt with benchmark Brent crude pegged at $118 a barrel.

That's still a ways off the record $147 per barrel notched in July 2008 but prices could well go up again, particularly if Iran's exports fall and no progress is made on the thorny nuclear issue at a meeting between Iran and its adversaries next month.

The Financial Times reports that higher oil prices are "insulating Iran from the full impact of the … sanctions on the sale of its crude, providing Tehran with breathing space as it prepares for a new round of nuclear talks with Western nations."

How long that will be the case remains to be seen as the sanctions squeeze tightens.

Meantime, the Center for Global Energy Studies, a London think tank, estimates that Tehran will earn $56 billion from exporting its crude in 2012, the Islamic Republic's third highest earnings ever, "even after factoring in the loss of roughly one-third of its export volume due to sanctions."

That's "more than Iran earned in any year before 2007," the Financial Times noted.

The CGES estimates that without new sanctions Iran would earn around $58 billion in 2012, down 5 percent from $72 billion in 2011.

Even by Washington's calculations, which differ from those used by the CGES, Tehran earned $22 billion in the first quarter of 2012.

"Even if these revenues halve in the next three-quarters of the year, the country will earn $55 billion based on U.S. government calculations, the fourth highest ever," the Financial Times reported.

Still, the International Energy Agency, the West's energy watchdog body in Paris, reported Iranian oil production fell to a 10-year low of 3.38 million barrels per day in February.

Recent oil industry reports suggest Iranian exports have fallen badly from around 2.2 million bpd in February to 1.9 million bpd in March, with a 50 percent cut resulting in a drop of more than $30 billion in annual earnings.

The IEA stressed that output could tumble to levels last seen during the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq war, when both sides' oil industries were strategic targets.

It estimated this could be as much as 15 percent by the end of 2012 due to a sharp reduction in foreign investment that's needed to keep the Islamic Republic's aging fields functioning.

A key element in throttling Iran's oil exports is the March 17 disconnection of Iranian banks hit by European sanctions from the SWIFT global electronic payment system. This impacted heavily on Iranian oil deals which rely on SWIFT, which operates the world's biggest payment platform.

Countries risk being cut off from the U.S. financial system unless it's proved they've substantially reduced imports of Iranian crude.

U.S. President Barack Obama's March 30 go-ahead on tightening sanctions against Iran, due to take effect June 28, has heightened tension with Iran as the two sides square off for trouble in the Persian Gulf.

This is, in turn, pushing oil prices higher, and presumably could bolster Tehran's earnings even though exports are steadily being reduced as Iran, which had been able to shrug off earlier sanctions, is now clearly being hurt.

Iran remains defiant.

In May, it's expected to take delivery of the first of 12 supertankers, each with a capacity of 318,000 deadweight tons, ordered from two Chinese shipyards under a $1.2 billion contract.

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Iran oil sales to European countries not halted: minister
Tehran (AFP) April 19, 2012 - Iranian Oil Minister Rostam Qasemi said on Thursday that oil sales to Germany, Greece and Spain had not been halted as reported by state media last week.

"We are still selling oil to all of Europe except Britain and France," Qasemi told a press conference at the International Oil, Gas, Refining and Petrochemical Exhibition, held in northern Tehran.

Two Iranian state-owned broadcasters, Al-Alam and Press TV, last week reported that oil exports to Germany, Spain and Greece had been halted, expanding on a February decision to stop oil sales to France and Britain.

The apparent moves by OPEC's second-biggest producer came in response to new sanctions by the European Union which were announced in January and will become fully effective in July.

Qasemi contradicted the television reports, which also claimed that exports to Italy could soon likewise be stopped but which did not identify the sources of their information.

"Exports to France and Britain have stopped. For the other countries the exports continue, although there are some financial problems in certain cases," linked to difficulties in transferring money, he said on Thursday.

"We have not halted exports to Greece," with which "there are some financial problems that are in the process of being resolved," the minister added.

"But if Europe does not cancel its oil sanctions... we will cease to sell them oil," he said.

Tehran since last year has been facing growing problems of payments for its oil from its buyers, because of banking sanctions imposed by the United States and the EU against transactions in dollars or euros with Iran.

Iran also has stopped delivering oil to energy giant Anglo-Dutch Shell, one of its major Western buyers, due to late payments emanating from difficulties related to bank transfer, said Qasemi.

Shell, which owes one billion dollars to Iran according to specialised sites, is "seeking ways to pay us," the minister added.

West has developed since 2010 a set of tough economic sanctions against Iran to force Tehran to curb its controversial nuclear programme.

The EU has broken new ground by deciding in January to cease all purchases of Iranian crude from July 1.

The EU bought in 2011 some 500,000 barrels a day of Iranian oil, constituting 20 percent of Iran's exports, Italy, Spain and Greece being the main nations purchasing Iranian crude.

Madrid, however, announced last week it had stopped buying Iranian oil since late February.

Qasemi reiterated that Tehran would have "no problem selling (its) oil on world markets," adding that the Islamic republic has "signed contracts with new buyers," but he declined to identify the new customers.

"But if Europe does not cancel its sanctions... this will cause serious fluctuations (in the crude oil prices) on the market," warned Qasemi, adding that the rise in recent months was due to the announcement of the oil embargo of the EU.



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