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TRADE WARS
China's trade surplus narrows in September
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Oct 13, 2011

US posts record monthly trade deficit with China
Washington (AFP) Oct 13, 2011 - The politically sensitive US trade deficit with China rose to a record level in August, according to figures produced by the Commerce Department on Thursday.

As Congress weighs hitting Beijing with sanctions over its currency policy, the department said the deficit with China stood at $29 billion in the month, passing the previous record set in August 2010.

The figure, which was not adjusted for seasonal variations in trade, will likely fuel allegations in Washington that China keeps its currency artificially weak in order to make its exports cheaper.

Although leaders in the House of Representatives have signaled they would block a bill that China has warned could trigger a trade war, anti-China sentiment is on the rise ahead US elections in November 2012.

The bill envisions retaliatory duties on Chinese exports if the value of the yuan is judged unfairly "misaligned."

Beijing has denounced it as "a ticking time-bomb" that threatens to blow up economic ties between the economic superpowers, parts of the US business community opposed it, and the White House has criticized it.

The broader US trade deficit with the world was largely unchanged in August, reaching $45.6 billion.

Exports reached a record $177.6 billion and imports reached $223.2 billion.


China's politically sensitive trade surplus fell to $14.51 billion in September as exports slowed sharply, hit by economic turmoil in the United States and Europe, official data showed Thursday.

The data is likely to boost Beijing's argument for its control of the yuan currency but fuel concerns about the country's vast manufacturing sector, which employs millions of workers and has been contracting for several months.

Exports rose 17.1 percent year on year to $169.7 billion, compared with a rise of 24.5 percent in August, the customs agency said in a statement.

Imports expanded 20.9 percent to $155.2 billion in September from a year earlier, compared with an increase of 30.2 percent in August.

"Some impact from weaker global growth was to be expected, and it looks like this is starting to happen," said Brian Jackson, senior strategist at Royal Bank of Canada in Hong Kong.

"We don't expect China's exports to collapse as sharply as they did at the end of 2008, but risks are definitely skewed to a further moderation in external demand in coming months."

Exports to the European Union, China's biggest trade partner, fell to $31.6 billion in September from $34.2 billion in August, customs data showed.

Shipments to the United States were steady at $30.1 billion last month.

"This has been a long time coming," said Alistair Thornton, a Beijing-based analyst at IHS Global Insight.

"We have seen the gradual deterioration in the eurozone and United States markets for a while. It takes time for that to feed into the trade data and it looks like that has started to happen now."

Despite the weak data, the Shanghai Composite Index was up 0.39 percent at 2,429.38 in afternoon trade.

The closely watched trade surplus fell from $17.8 billion in August, marking the second straight month of contraction.

Economists had forecast a $17.25 billion surplus, according to a Dow Jones Newswires survey.

The figure is a perennial point of contention for China's key trade partners, the United States and Europe, who argue the country's currency is grossly undervalued, which gives its exporters an unfair advantage.

Earlier this week the US Senate passed legislation to punish China for its alleged currency manipulation -- a charge Beijing has repeatedly denied.

China has denounced the bill as a "ticking time-bomb" that threatens to blow up trade ties between the economic superpowers, and US House Speaker John Boehner has signalled he would block the bill to prevent a "trade war".

The latest trade data will bolster China's defence of its yuan exchange rate -- which it has repeatedly pledged to make more flexible -- though it is unlikely to silence the critics, analysts said.

China continues to strictly control the value of the yuan despite vowing in June 2010 to let it trade more freely against the dollar. Since then, the currency has appreciated more than seven percent against the greenback.

"Chinese officials will be able to cite today's data as evidence that exporters are already feeling the pinch from the recent appreciation of the yuan in trade-weighted terms," said Jackson.

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Gap to triple stores in China by end-2012
New York (AFP) Oct 13, 2011 - Gap, the US casual apparel retailer, unveiled plans Thursday to nearly triple the number of its stores in China by the end of its 2012 business year as it looks outside of North America to grow sales.

Gap Inc., whose portfolio of brands includes Gap, Banana Republic and Old Navy, outlined a strategy to increase total sales to counter lackluster demand in North America.

In China, where Gap opened its first store in November 2010, the company said it would expand from about 15 stores at the end of this year to about 45 by the end of fiscal 2012, in late January 2013.

The first Gap flagship store in Hong Kong is set to open in a matter of weeks, the company noted.

Gap also said it would open its first Old Navy store, its lower-priced brand, outside of North America, in Japan within the next 18 months.

The company's first Banana Republic flagship in Paris is slated to open later this year.

The San Francisco-based company reaffirmed its target of increasing sales growth outside of North America and online by about 30 percent by the end of its 2013 fiscal year.

"The combination of our global strategy and formidable growth platform puts us in a strong position to expand our reach into the top 10 apparel markets worldwide," said Glenn Murphy, Gap chairman and chief executive, in the statement.

"In North America, we're taking a number of steps to improve sales in the near term, and I'm confident that with a strong management team in place, we're well positioned for sustained growth across the business."

The company said it would reduce overall store square footage in North America by 10 percent by 2012, compared with 2007 levels.

And it is focusing on Gap stores, planning to shrink their number to 700, a decline of 34 percent from end-2007.

Gap has about 3,100 company-operated stores and about 200 franchise stores in 36 countries and online orders shipped to over 90 countries.

Retail sales outside North America increased 16 percent in the first half of the year, while revenue from e-commerce business increased 19 percent across its entire portfolio, the company said.

A week ago Gap reported September net sales were flat compared with last year.



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