China's trade surplus drops 53.5% in January
Beijing (AFP) Feb 14, 2011 China said Monday its politically sensitive trade surplus shrank in January but analysts warned the data may have been skewed by a surge in imports leading up to the Lunar New Year holiday. The data came hours after Tokyo confirmed China had surpassed Japan as the world's second biggest economy and as economists look to the release on Tuesday of January inflation figures at a time when Beijing is trying to rein in prices. The trade surplus fell 53.5 percent to $6.45 billion in January as both exports and imports grew strongly ahead of the holiday, the General Administration of Customs said. Exports increased 37.7 percent from a year earlier, while imports surged 51 percent. Analysts said the figures indicated strong underlying growth in trade demand in China and abroad. "Export growth momentum is supported by improvements in economic conditions in China's major trading partners, and strong import growth momentum is supported by strong domestic demand growth," Goldman Sachs economist Yu Song said in a note. However, economists cautioned that figures were typically volatile early in the year, when the country's biggest holiday falls. Imports and exports rose as businesses accelerated shipments in advance of the roughly two-week festive period, which started at the beginning of February, the customs bureau said in a statement. The trade surplus was lower than the $10.7 billion median forecast in a Dow Jones Newswires survey of 11 economists. Rising raw material costs probably increased China's import bill, narrowing the surplus, economists said. The increasing materials costs come as China struggles to keep inflation in check. Prices hit a two-year high of 5.1 percent in November before easing slightly in December and there are fears January inflation figures could also be high. Japanese gross domestic product figures out Monday showed that in 2010 it surrendered to China its 42-year status as the world's number two economy. The Chinese trade data pointed to continued demand for the exports that have pushed the economy to second-place behind the United States, Hong Kong-based Deutsche Bank economist Ma Jun told AFP. "The biggest factor is stronger-than-expected foreign demand," Ma said. "Sixty percent of China's imports are used in the making of exports. (A rise in imports) is a leading index for exports in a few months," he added. The trade surplus figure -- a sore point in relations with the United States -- marks the lowest level since early last year and compares with $13.1 billion in December and $22.9 billion in November. The United States has pressured Beijing to allow its yuan currency to strengthen as a way of addressing a chronic trade imbalance between the two countries in China's favour. Critics say the yuan is massively undervalued and gives China's exporters an unfair advantage. It has strengthened slightly since China pledged in June to free up the yuan but Beijing still keeps a tight grip on the currency. Analysts said January's smaller trade surplus was unlikely to have much impact on debate surrounding China's currency policy. Chinese officials have said boosting domestic consumption and imports were priorities this year as the country rebalances its economy after the trade downturn caused by the global financial crisis exposed its export dependence. January's strong domestic demand growth was supported by continued loose liquidity conditions despite a spate of tightening measures aimed at cooling the economy, Goldman Sachs' Yu said. China's overall full-year trade surplus in 2010 stood at $183.1 billion compared with $196.1 billion in 2009. The Shanghai Composite Index closed 2.5 percent higher at a more than one-month high as traders said the market was encouraged by the export data and hopes that inflation figures expected Tuesday could be lower than expected. -- Dow Jones Newswires contributed to this report --
Share This Article With Planet Earth
Related Links Global Trade News
US commerce secretary urges more India reform Mumbai (AFP) Feb 11, 2011 US Commerce Secretary Gary Locke on Thursday called on India to create more jobs and upgrade its infrastructure as it embarks on a rapid growth path. Locke, in India after US president Barack Obama's visit to the country in November, urged the software sector to push for more market reform. "India needs more jobs, its transport and infrastructure have to be upgraded," Locke said, adding ... read more |
|
The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2010 - SpaceDaily. AFP and UPI Wire Stories are copyright Agence France-Presse and United Press International. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by SpaceDaily on any Web page published or hosted by SpaceDaily. Privacy Statement |