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TRADE WARS
Australia and China seal bumper trade deal
by Staff Writers
Sydney (AFP) Nov 17, 2014


Chinese FDI growth slows to 1.3% in October: govt
Beijing (AFP) Nov 18, 2014 - Growth in foreign investment into China slowed in October, the government said Tuesday, amid a slowdown in the world's second-largest economy and concerns over business risks.

Foreign direct investment (FDI) -- which excludes financial sectors -- totalled $8.53 billion for the month, the commerce ministry said, up 1.3 percent year-on-year.

The figure compares with a gain of 1.9 percent in September, which came after a four-year-low in August of $7.20 billion.

For the first 10 months of 2014, FDI amounted to $95.88 billion, the ministry said, a decline of 1.2 percent year-on-year.

Chinese authorities have in recent months launched anti-monopoly, pricing and other inquiries into foreign firms in sectors ranging from auto manufacturing and pharmaceuticals to baby milk.

The probes have raised concerns among investors that Beijing is targeting overseas companies, which the commerce ministry has repeatedly denied.

But China's appeal as an investment destination has declined in recent years in the face of rising labour and land costs and competition from other Southeast Asian countries such as Vietnam.

Chinese officials have also blamed source country factors, such as Washington's drive to move industrial production back to the United States.

China's economy expanded 7.3 percent in the July-September quarter, slower than the 7.5 percent expansion in the previous three months and the worst result since 2009 at the height of the global financial crisis.

In the first 10 months FDI fell 42.9 percent from Japan to $3.69 billion, 23.8 percent from the US to $2.32 billion, 16.2 percent from the European Union (EU) to $5.38 billion, and 15.2 percent from the ASEAN group of Southeast Asian countries to $5.41 billion.

Investment from Britain and South Korea bucked the trend, rising 32.4 percent and 26.4 percent to $1.18 billion and $3.29 billion, respectively.

Investment by Chinese companies overseas, meanwhile, fell in October after a huge jump the month before.

Overseas direct investment (ODI) was down 12.2 percent year-on-year in October at $6.92 billion and stood at $81.88 billion for the first 10 months, up 17.8 percent.

ODI had soared 90.5 percent in September to $9.79 billion.

China has been actively acquiring foreign assets, particularly energy and resources, to power its economy, with firms encouraged to "go out" and make overseas acquisitions to gain market access and international experience.

Officials have said that outward investment could exceed FDI this year.

Over the 10-month period, Chinese investment into the US jumped 30.5 percent to $4.19 billion, the ministry said, while that to ASEAN gained 3.9 percent to $3.99 billion.

Investment to the EU nearly tripled, the ministry said, while that to Japan more than doubled and to Hong Kong it increased 22 percent, the ministry said, without providing totals.

It said that investment to Australia fell 16.7 percent during the period, while that to Russia crashed 78.8 percent, due to a high base effect from last year.

Australia and China sealed a landmark trade deal hailed Monday as a "game-changer", abolishing tariffs in the lucrative resources and agricultural sectors as Canberra confronts a painful downturn in mining.

The pact, signed during a visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping, was lauded by Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott as the first Beijing had reached with a major economy and "the most comprehensive agreement China has concluded with anyone".

"It opens the doors to Australia and it opens the doors to China," said Abbott, hailing "unprecedented" access to the world's second-largest economy after a protracted decade of talks.

"This has been a 10-year journey but we have finally made it, and both our countries will see the benefits flow through in the years ahead."

China is Australia's biggest trading partner, with the two-way flow exceeding Aus$150 billion (US$131 billion).

A dollar figure was not announced for the pact, which will see 95 percent of Australian goods exports to China become tariff-free, including the abolition of all charges on resources and energy products -- a key plank in the trade relationship.

Duties will be lifted on agricultural exports including wine, meat and live animal shipments and dairy products to feed China's growing middle class.

Agriculture Minister Barnaby Joyce said the boost to farming exports would help counter a downturn in mining and slumping commodity prices that are hurting the economy.

"If we can alleviate that in some way by exports in dairy and exports of beef and exports of wine, horticultural produce, fish, then that is a good outcome for us," Joyce said.

Earlier this month, Canberra unveiled a deal to ship to China one million Australian cattle worth Aus$1 billion (US$860 million) in an agreement that will double the size of the live export industry.

Australian Trade Minister Andrew Robb said Canberra had secured the "best ever access provided to a foreign country by China on services" including legal and financial, education, telecoms and health.

"China realises if it is to become a domestically focused economy it will be a service-based economy overwhelmingly," he said. "They will need our services."

Robb said the deal completed a "powerful trifecta" of Asian free-trade agreements with Japan and South Korea sealed in the past year.

- Devil in the detail -

China won concessions on foreign investment, with Abbott announcing that the threshold for government review would be lifted from Aus$248 million to more than $1 billion in "most areas" apart from agricultural land and agribusiness.

Xi said the agreement reflected a "new level" in bilateral ties, which Beijing had upgraded to "comprehensive strategic partnership" status.

"As the Chinese saying goes 'it takes ten years to sharpen a sword' so we are very glad to see that after nearly ten years of negotiation our two sides have announced the substantive conclusion to the bilateral FTA negotiation," he said.

"This will provide a bigger market, more favourable conditions and better institutional support for our cooperation."

Senior government MP Josh Frydenberg described the deal as a "game-changer" that would "supercharge" Australia's trade with China.

One contentious outcome could be the temporary employment of Chinese people in Australia's high-pay workforce, a move condemned by unions.

The details in this and many other areas are yet to be finalised, with a parliamentary inquiry and legislation required before it can come into force.

Analysts were divided, warning the benefits of such deals were typically delayed and difficult to quantify.

"I wouldn't say it's a game-changer, the benefits are very long-term and they accrue over four to ten years," said JP Morgan chief economist Stephen Walters.

But HSBC chief economist Paul Bloxham said the deal was an important step in Australia's "great rebalancing act", supporting a dining boom as the mining boom comes to its end."


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