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Analysis: State responds to Iraqi oil fund

Iraq has earned more than $51 billion from oil sales this year, according to a recent State Department report, mostly because of record oil prices as well as an increase in production. While Iraq's government slowly increases institutional capacity to allocate and spend its budget, the funds are collected in a U.N.-mandated bank account in New York.
by Ben Lando
Washington DC (UPI) Sep 22, 2008
An Iraqi oil trust fund proposed by Sens. Hillary Clinton and John Ensign may derail Iraqi government negotiations on already divisive oil and revenue-sharing laws, a State Department official said.

Legislation recently introduced by Clinton, D-N.Y., and Ensign, R-Nev., requires the U.S. State Department to present to the Iraqi government an "oil trust plan" or lose a portion of Iraq reconstruction and economic funding.

The "plan," according to the legislation, "includes background on oil trusts, including those currently used by sovereign nations or territories and states within nations; and options for different types of oil trusts that could be implemented in Iraq; and includes a discussion on the steps necessary to implement an oil trust."

A package of four oil-related laws is being debated within the Iraqi legislative process. This includes the hydrocarbons framework law and a revenue-sharing law.

The Clinton-Ensign bill "could have a negative impact on reaching a political compromise on pending oil-related legislation, including the Revenue Sharing Law," a State Department official, speaking on background, told United Press International, "by interfering with the ongoing negotiations on the package of four laws."

The hydrocarbons law -- commonly referred to as the oil law -- would determine how much control the central, regional and provincial governments should have over the oil sector, how to rebuild the domestic oil sector, and to what extent private and foreign oil companies should be allowed into Iraq.

A Clinton aide told UPI "a strong plan presented by the U.S. government would offer a solution to the oil revenue political problems that they have."

Meanwhile, Iraq is simultaneously negotiating a revenue-sharing law while redistributing the funds to provincial governments and the Kurdistan Regional Government. A draft of the revenue-sharing law, published on the Web site of the KRG, defers the oil trust discussion to future legislation.

"The United States government, other countries and international organizations have broached the topic of the establishment of an oil trust fund with the Iraqi government for several years," the State Department official said. The oil trust fund models of Norway, Canada, Venezuela and the state of Alaska, among others, have been presented to and discussed with Iraqi leaders.

Some models wouldn't work in Iraq, and others couldn't be implemented while Iraq is a war zone and the financial institutions are still developing.

"The decision to create such a fund is squarely an Iraqi one. The United States government cannot impose a durable solution," the official said. "We would hope the Iraqi government will focus resolving issues on establishing a framework on federal and regional authorities in the administration of the oil and gas sector, create an equitable revenue-sharing system with the governorates, reconstitute the Iraq National Oil Co., and restructure the federal Oil Ministry before creating an oil trust fund."

Iraq has earned more than $51 billion from oil sales this year, according to a recent State Department report, mostly because of record oil prices as well as an increase in production. While Iraq's government slowly increases institutional capacity to allocate and spend its budget, the funds are collected in a U.N.-mandated bank account in New York.

Inability to spend the full allocated budget and an increase in oil prices could mean Iraq's budget surplus since 2005 exceeds $60 billion, according to the U.S. Government Accountability Office. The Finance Ministry has proposed a record $79 billion budget for the next fiscal year.

(e-mail: [email protected])

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